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Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection - 2025 results Publications

Publication Details

This publication presents an updated set of results from the Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection.

Author(s): Ministry of Education

Date Published: February 2026

Summary

This is the eighth annual release of the Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection. This projection is constructed to forecast the number of teachers required by schools in the future, and to compare this with an estimate of how many teachers schools will be able to employ if there is sufficient demand. The results of this forecasting are used as an input into the Ministry’s advice on teacher supply.

The projection is based on various scenarios of supply/demand, at a national level. It looks at the total number of teachers needed across the country, compared with teachers available.

The summary report contains the results from the projection.

Key findings

The following documents give an overview by region of the key findings from the eighth annual release of the Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection.

  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - The National Picture[PDF 416kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Auckland Central region[PDF 436kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Auckland North region[PDF 439kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Auckland South region[PDF 426kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Bay of Plenty region[PDF 392kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Canterbury region[PDF 388kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Gisborne region[PDF 387kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Hawkes Bay region[PDF 366kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Manawatū-Whanganui region[PDF 395kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Marlborough region[PDF 418kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Nelson region[PDF 393kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Northland region[PDF 404kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Otago region[PDF 389kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Southland region[PDF 375kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Taranaki region[PDF 412kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Tasman region[PDF 396kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Waikato region[PDF 393kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - Wellington region[PDF 396kB]
  • A3: Teacher Demand and Supply Planning Projection 2025 - West Coast region[PDF 420kB]

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Downloads

  • Summary (PDF, 745.9 KB)
  • Summary (DOC, 1.1 MB)

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