Latest New Zealand tertiary education and industry training demand forecasts

Publication Details

The New Zealand tertiary education demand forecast factsheet presents the methodology used by the Ministry of Education in forecasting the demand for provider-based tertiary education at Levels 3 and above on the New Zealand Qualifications Framework. It also includes tables summarising the most recent (2020) and past (2016-2019) forecasts.

The factsheet on the accuracy of the provider-based demand forecasts compares the forecasts of the 2015 to 2019 budget and economic forecast update rounds with actual tertiary enrolments over those years.

The Ministry has also produced a factsheet on the New Zealand industry training demand forecast. The factsheet presents the methodology used in forecasting the demand for industry training and tables summarising the most recent (2019) and past (2018) forecasts. A forecast for industry training was not done in 2020.

Author(s): Tertiary Sector Performance Analysis, Ministry of Education.

Date Published: May 2020

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