Indicators

Retention of students in senior secondary schools

What We Have Found 

80% of students remained at school to their 17th birthday.  Retention rates have been gradually increasing since 2009.  However, differences remain between girls and boys, and Māori and non-Māori.

Date Updated: November 2012

Indicator Description

Percentage of students staying on at school to age 17.

Why This Is Important

Completion of upper secondary education is associated with a range of economic and social benefits both in New Zealand and across the OECD.  Retention to senior secondary schooling is linked to higher levels of skills and knowledge required for participation in our increasingly knowledge-based society and the wider global community (OECD, 2010). OECD education ministers have  
emphasized "Quality education for all" (OECD, 2001) and with improving standards and average achievements, it is likely to be a moving target over the next generations (Hutmacher, 2001).

The positive effect of each additional year of schooling on incomes has been estimated to range from 5 to 10% (Norton et al. 2000).  According to Norton (2000), the risk of unemployment for those with no school qualifications or only Year 11 qualifications is higher than for those with Year 12 or Year 13 qualifications.

Lashlie (2005) found that one of the factors important for successful school leaving for boys was merely staying at school until the end of the Year 13.  This is because it takes boys longer to achieve a high level of maturity and self-management than girls, and that boys’ schools in particular can ‘hold boys steady while the chaos of adolescence sorts itself.’  Simply keeping boys at school (by making school relevant) until they have decided what they want their next step in life to be, can reduce the chances of a boy ‘arriving at a prison gate’.

How We Are Going

In 2006/07 a new data collection method (ENROL) was rolled out in schools. The newly collected data have enabled us to identify the number of school leavers including students’ dates of birth, and to include leavers that were previously excluded from analysis.  We can now calculate retention rate as the number of school leavers staying at school till their 17th birthday. A more inclusive definition of school leaver has been used in recent years. Data is available from 2009 on.

In 2011, 80.0% of students stayed at school to the age of 17.  This is an increase from 78.0% in 2009 and 79.0% in 2010.

Figure 1: Retention rate - percentage of school leavers aged 17 or above (2009 to 2011)
inID-1955-fig1


In 2011, Māori students had the lowest proportion of students remaining at school to age 17 (64.7%).  This compares with a retention rate of 78.9% for Pasifika and 82.8% for European/Pākehā.  Asian students had the highest retention rate (92.7%).

The gap between Māori and non-Māori in the rate of 17 year-old students remaining at school has not shown any signs of closing in the last 3 years.  Comparatively, Pasifika students have relatively high retention rates. This is most probably a reflection of the importance that Pasifika families and communities place on their children staying in education.

Girls are more likely to stay at school till 17 than boys, (83.0% compared to 77.1%).  This difference has changed little over the last 3 years.
 

Figure 2: Percentage of students who were retained at school to the age of 17, by school decile (2011)
inID-1955-fig2


There is a clear correlation between decile (the socio-economic mix of the school the student attended) and the percentage of school leavers aged 17 or above.  Schools in the highest quintile (deciles 9 and 10) draw their students from communities with the lowest degree of socio-economic disadvantage.  Students from these schools are 1.3 times more likely to remain at school till the age of 17 than students from the lowest quintile (deciles 1 and 2).


Figure 3: Retention rate - percentage of school leavers aged 17 or above, by school quintile (2011)
inID-1955-fig3

There is a large variation in the percentage of 17 year-old students remaining at school amongst schools within each decile.

References

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