Progress against Māori Education Plan Targets: Ka Hikitia – Managing for Success

Summary

The following page provides the latest data on the targets from the Ka Hikitia – Managing for Success: The Māori Education Strategy 2008-2012. This page is updated as new data is made available.

**Ka Hikitia Targets**
No	Table	Figure	Latest Year of Data	Next Update Due (Approx)
1	Percentage of Māori new entrant students who participated in ECE	ECE Participation	2011	Mar-2013
2	Percentage of Māori school leavers qualified to attend university	Leavers University	2010	Aug-2012
3	Percentage of year 11 Māori students meeting the NCEA level 1 literacy & numeracy requirements	Literacy, Numeracy	2010	Jun-2012
4	Percentage of Māori school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above	Leavers NCEA Level 2	2010	Aug-2012
5	Truancy rate for year 9 and 10 Māori students	Truancy	2009	Jun-2012
6	Retention rate of Māori 17 1/2 year olds	Retention	2010	Sep-2012
7	Percentage of Māori in modern apprenticeships	Apprenticeships	2009	Apr-2012
8	Percentage of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 or above within 2 years of leaving school	School to Tertiary	2006*	May-2012
9	First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students	Degree Retention	2008	Jun-2012
10	First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students	Diploma Retention	2008	Jun-2011
11	Percentage of school leavers from Māori immersion & bilingual schools qualified to attend university	Immersion Leavers University	2010	Aug-2012
12	Year 11 students studying Te Reo Rangatira and Te Reo Māori	Year 11 Reo Rangatira	2011	Sep-2012
13	Percentage of students participating in Māori language education	Māori Language	2011	Sep-2012
Notes: 2006* = 2006 school leaver data

Foundation Years (early childhood education and the first years at school)

Target: Increase the percentage of Māori new entrant school children who have participated in early childhood education from 90% in 2006 to 95% by 2012.

**Table 1: Percentage of Māori new entrant students who participated in ECE**
Year	Number of new entrant students who have participated in ECE			Total new entrant students			Percentage who have participated in ECE
							Old series					New Series
							Old series					Māori			Total
	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Est* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total	Target Values (old)	Actual	New Target Values	Est* linear track to reach target	Actual
2003	11,868	42,319	54,187	13,422	44,496	57,918	88.4		95.1	93.6		86.5			92.4
2004	11,603	40,893	52,496	12,995	42,815	55,810	89.3		95.5	94.1		87.3			92.9
2005	12,183	42,041	54,224	13,555	43,966	57,521	89.9		95.6	94.3		87.9			93.1
2006	11,728	40,647	52,375	13,049	42,360	55,409	89.9		96.0	94.5	90.0	87.9	87.9		93.4
2007	11,328	39,132	50,460	12,510	40,757	53,267	90.6		96.0	94.7	90.8	88.5	88.7		93.6
2008	11,703	39,656	51,359	12,942	41,288	54,230	90.4		96.0	94.7	91.7	88.4	89.6		93.6
2009	11,802	40,494	52,296	12,919	42,079	54,998	91.4		96.2	95.1	92.5	89.3	90.4		93.9
2010*	12,419	40,236	52,655	13,895	41,842	55,737	89.4	89.4	96.2	94.5	93.3	89.4	91.2		94.5
2011*								92.2			94.2	90.0	92.1	90.0	94.7
2012*				TARGET			95.0	95.0			95.0		92.9	92.9

Notes:

Est* = Estimated.
The source of data for this indicator from 2003 to 2009 was school roll returns, while for 2010 the data source has changed to ENROL, which is an electronic real-time enrolment system used by schools and likely to provide more accurate data for this measure.
The Education Region area of the school each Year 1 student was attending.
The number of NZAID and Foreign Fee Paying Students, Health Camp Students, and students whose attendance is not known as been excluded (from both the numerator and denominator) when calculating participation rates.
Not applicable includes the Correspondence School and other schools which cover multiple Eduction Region areas.
'n' implies that there were no Year 1 students with known attendance for this category.

Figure 1: Percentage of new entrant school children who have participated in
Early Childhood Education prior to starting school

Note:   The source for this data changed in 2010. As 2010 data is not directly comparable with earlier years, a revised
           series has been created. The target has also been revised. The original target was "Increase the percentage of Māori
           new entrant school children who have participated in childhood education from 90% in 2006 to 95% by 2012."

Young People Engaged in Learning (particularly in Years 9 and 10)

Target: Increase Māori school leavers qualified to attend university from 14.8% in 2006 to 30% by 2012.

**Table 2: School leavers qualified to attend university**
Year	Number of school leavers qualified to attend university			Number of school leavers			Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Target Values	Est* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total
2002	724	13,438	14,162	9,445	43,101	52,546	7.7			31.2	27.0
2003	859	14,509	15,368	9,688	43,783	53,471	8.9			33.1	28.7
2004	1,241	16,609	17,850	10,583	45,051	55,634	11.7			36.9	32.1
2005	1,315	17,559	18,874	11,045	46,409	57,454	11.9			37.8	32.9
2006	1,603	19,029	20,631	10,798	46,097	56,895	14.8	14.8		41.3	36.3
2007	1,954	20,130	22,084	10,678	45,992	56,670	18.3	17.3		43.8	39.0
2008	1,879	21,072	22,951	9,036	43,598	52,634	20.8	19.9		48.3	43.6
2009	2,127	21,496	23,623	9,215	42,239	51,454	23.1	22.4		50.9	45.9
2010	2,448	22,788	25,236	10,620	45,491	56,111	23.1	24.9	23.1	50.1	45.0
2011								27.5	26.5
2012				TARGET			30.0	30.0	30.0
Notes: Est* = Estimated. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.

Figure 2: Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
kahitikitanew2

Target: Improve the proportion of Year 11 Māori students achieving the reading literacy and numeracy criteria for NCEA level 1 to be equal to or better than the proportion of non-Māori by 2012.

**Table 3: Year 11 students meeting the reading literacy and numeracy criteria for NCEA level 1**
Year	Number with literacy and numeracy			Total Year 11 students			Percentage with literacy and numeracy
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Target Values	Esti* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total
2004	5,452	32,902	38,354	11,029	47,473	58,502	49.4			69.3	65.6
2005	6,176	35,067	41,243	11,842	48,821	60,663	52.2			71.8	68.0
2006	7,150	37,879	45,029	11,931	50,317	62,248	59.9	59.9		75.3	72.3
2007	7,682	37,782	45,464	12,574	48,865	61,439	61.1	63.3		77.3	74.0
2008	7,657	37,671	45,328	12,669	48,227	60,896	60.4	66.6		78.1	74.4
2009	8,499	37,962	46,461	12,910	48,357	61,267	65.8	70.0		78.5	75.8
2010	8,902	37,962	47,173	13,551	47,807	61,358	65.7	73.4	65.7	80.1	76.9
2011								76.7	72.9
2012				CURRENT TARGET*			80.1	80.1	80.1
Notes: Est* = Estimated. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures. These figures may differ slightly from those used in the development of the ka hikitia target as they include a small group of students who do not appear to have literacy and numeracy credits yet are regarded by NZQA as having met this criteria and have been awarded an NCEA level 1. * Estimated Target based on Most recent Non-Māori figure.

Figure 3: Percentage of Year 11 students meeting NCEA level 1 literacy and numeracy requirements

Image of Figure 3.
Note: * Estimated Target based on Most recent Non-Māori figure

Target: Increase Māori school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above from 36.7% in 2006 to 55% in 2012.

**Table 4: School leavers with NCEA level 2 or above**
Year	Number of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above			Number of school leavers			Percentage of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Target Values	Est* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total
2003	2,794	25,343	28,137	9,688	43,783	53,471	28.8			57.9	52.6
2004*	-	-	-	-	-	-	30.8			60.4	54.9
2005	3,610	29,197	32,807	11,045	46,409	57,454	32.7			62.9	57.1
2006	3,966	30,280	34,246	10,798	46,097	56,895	36.7	36.7		65.7	60.2
2007	4,689	32,431	37,120	10,678	45,992	56,670	43.9	39.8		70.5	65.5
2008	4,556	32,753	37,309	9,036	43,598	52,634	50.4	42.8		75.1	70.9
2009	5,023	33,071	38,094	9,438	42,702	52,140	53.2	45.9		77.4	73.1
2010	5,724	35,012	40,736	10,620	45,491	56,111	53.9	48.9	53.9	77.0	72.6
2011								52.0	54.5
2012				TARGET			55.0	55.0	55.0
Note: Est* = Estimated. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures. * Due to methodological changes in the allocation of attainment levels for 2004 leavers achieving a qualification between little or no formal attainment and UE standard, the percentages of leavers with at least NCEA Level 2 in 2004 is not comparable with other years and has been replaced with an average of 2003 and 2005 results

Figure 4: Percentage of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above

Image of Figure 4.

Target: Reduce the truancy rate of Māori students in Years 9 and 10 by 20% from 4.1% in 2006 to 3.3% by 2012.

**Table 5: Truancy Rate of Year 9 and Year 10 Students**
Year	Number of Year 9 and 10 students who are frequent truants			Year 9 and 10 students whose attendance is known			Percentage who are frequent truants
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Est* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total
2003
2004	637	659	1,296	19,666	69,247	88,913	3.2		1.0	1.5
2005
2006	954	884	1,839	23,212	79,564	102,776	4.1	4.1	1.1	1.8
2007								4.0
2008								3.8
2009	336	334	680	11983	40279	52,262	2.8	3.7	0.8	1.3
2010								3.6
2011								3.4
2012				TARGET			3.3	3.3
Notes: Est* = Estimated

Figure 5: Percentage of Year 9 and 10 students who are frequent truants

Topic-ID36805-fig5

Target: Increase retention rates for 17 1/2-year-old Māori students from 39.1% in 2007 to 50% by 2012.

**Table 6: Retention rates for 17 1/2 year olds**
Year	Number of 17 1/2 year olds in school			Number of 14 1/2 year olds in school three years earlier			Retention rate of 17 1/2 year olds
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Target Values	Est* linear track to reach target	Non- Māori	Total
2003	3,807	27,321	31,128	10,378	43,214	53,592	36.7			63.2	58.1
2004	4,395	28,648	33,043	11,113	43,463	54,576	39.5			65.9	60.5
2005	4,580	29,991	34,571	11,618	46,016	57,634	39.4			65.2	60.0
2006	4,763	30,829	35,592	12,259	46,802	59,061	38.9			65.9	60.3
2007	5,127	32,345	37,472	13,117	48,504	61,621	39.1	39.1		66.7	60.8
2008	5,442	33,903	39,345	13,492	49,704	63,196	40.3	41.3		68.2	62.3
2009	6,157	34,847	41,004	13,444	48,263	61,707	45.8	43.5		72.2	66.4
2010	6,859	36,416	43,275	13,438	47,539	60,977	51.0	45.6	51.0	76.6	71.0
2011				13,413	46,748	60,161		47.8	50.0
2012				TARGET			50.0	50.0	50.0
Notes: Est* = Estimated. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.

Figure 6: Retention rate of 17 1/2 year olds in school

Topic-ID36805-fig6

Target: Increase the proportion of Māori participating in modern apprenticeships from 14% in 2006 to 18% by 2012.

**Table 7: Percentage of Māori in Modern Apprenticeships**
Year	Number of modern apprentices			Proportion who are Māori	Target Values (old)	Target Values (new)	Est* linear track to reach target
Year	Māori	Non-Māori	Total	Proportion who are Māori	Target Values (old)	Target Values (new)	Est* linear track to reach target
2006	1,430	8,036	9,466	15.1%	14.0%	15.1%
2007	1,594	9,256	10,850	14.7%	14.7%	15.8%
2008	1,797	10,352	12,149	14.8%	15.3%	16.4%
2009	1,414	10,705	12,119	11.7%	16.0%	17.1%	11.7%
2010					16.7%	17.8%	14.1%
2011					17.3%	18.4%	16.6%
2012					18.0%	19.1%	19.1%

Note: Est* = Estimated. Numbers are as at 31 December.

Figure 7: Proportion of Māori participating in modern apprenticeships

Image of Figure 7.

Note: Values have been revised since target was set - target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.

Target: Increase the proportion of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 and above within two years of leaving school, from 28% in 2004 to 32% by 2012.

**Table 8: Percentage of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 or above within 2 years of leaving school**
Year	Total School Leavers			Entering tertiary at level 4+			Percent entering tertiary at level 4+			Target Values (1)	Target Values (new)	Est* linear track to reach revised target
Year	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Māori	Non- Māori	Total	Target Values (1)	Target Values (new)	Est* linear track to reach revised target
2004	18,634	96,023	114,657	4,748	40,257	45,005	25.5%	41.9%	39.3%	28.0%	25.5%
2005	19,212	99,122	118,334	4,956	40,767	45,723	25.8%	41.1%	38.6%	28.7%	26.2%
2006	20,409	103,197	123,606	5,516	44,241	49,757	27.0%	42.9%	40.3%	29.3%	26.8%	27.0%
2007										30.0%	27.5%	27.6%
2008										30.7%	28.2%	28.3%
2009										31.3%	28.8%	28.9%
2010										32.0%	29.5%	29.5%
Note: Est* = Estimated

Figure 8: Proportion of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 and above

Image of Figure 8.

Notes: 1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures

Target: Increase the first year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students from 81% in 2006 (based on the 2005 cohort) to 88% in 2012 (based on the 2011 cohort).

**Table 9: First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students**
Year started	Māori	All students	Target Values (1)	Target Values (new)	Estimated linear track to reach revised target
2005	82.4%	90.0%	81.0%	82.4%
2006	83.3%	90.4%	82.2%	83.5%
2007	80.9%	89.3%	83.3%	84.7%
2008	84.2%	90.2%	84.5%	85.9%	84.2%
2009			85.7%	87.1%	85.9%
2010			86.8%	88.2%	87.7%
2011			88.0%	89.4%	89.4%
Note: Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.

Figure 9: First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students

Image of Figure 9.

Notes: 1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.

Target: Increase the first year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students from 54% in 2006 (based on the 2005 cohort) to 58% in 2012 (based on the 2011 cohort)

**Table 10: First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students**
Year started	Māori	All students	Target Values (1)	Target Values (new)	Estimated linear track to reach revised target
2005	59.5%	73.4%	54.0%	59.5%
2006	61.2%	73.7%	54.7%	60.1%
2007	63.3%	73.5%	55.3%	60.8%
2008	68.3%	78.0%	56.0%	61.5%	68.3%
2009			56.7%	62.2%	66.7%
2010			57.3%	62.8%	65.1%
2011			58.0%	63.5%	63.5%
Note: Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.

Figure 10: First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students

Image of Figure 10.

Notes: 1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.

Target: Increase the proportion of school leavers from Māori immersion and bilingual schools with university entrance or above from 39.4% in 2006 to be equal or better than the proportion of non-Māori English-medium students

**Table 11: Percentage of school leavers from Māori immersion and bilingual schools qualified to attend university**
Year	Number of school leavers qualified to attend university		Number of school leavers		Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
Year	Māori immersion and bilingual schools	Non-Māori from English-medium schools	Māori immersion and bilingual school leavers	Non-Māori English-medium	Māori immersion and bilingual school leavers	Target Values	Estimated linear track to reach target	Non-Māori English-medium
2002	26	13,438	124	43,099	21.0			31.2
2003	46	14,509	188	43,782	24.5			33.1
2004	94	16,608	280	45,049	33.6			36.9
2005	72	17,559	271	46,405	26.6			37.8
2006	151	19,029	384	46,095	39.3	39.3		41.3
2007	151	20,128	353	45,983	42.8	41.1		43.8
2008	133	21,072	321	43,597	41.4	42.9		48.3
2009	150	21,780	302	42,700	49.7	44.7		51.0
2010	154	22,787	299	45,485	51.5	46.5	51.5	50.1
2011						48.3	50.8
2012		CURRENT TARGET*		50.1	50.1	50.1
Notes: The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures There are only a relatively small number of school leavers from Māori immersion schools. With such a small number of leavers, year-on-year actual percentages can vary substantially just by random fluctuation (margin of error ~ 4-5%). Together with the uncertainty around forecasts, and the fact that the number of school leavers from these schools has almost doubled since 2000, the forecast rates for school leavers with UE Standard from Māori immersion schools should be treated with caution. * Estimated Target based on most recent Non-Māori figure.

Figure 11: Percentage of school leavers from Māori Immersion and Bilingual Schools qualified to attend university

Image of Figure 11.
Note: * Estimated Target based on most recent Non-Māori figure

Target: Increase the proportion of all Year 11 students studying Te Reo Rangatira as a proportion of all Year 11 students studying te reo (Te Reo Māori plus Te Reo Rangatira), from 7.4% in 2006, to 10% by 2012.

**Table 12: Year 11 Students Studying Te Reo Rangatira and Te Reo Māori**
Year	Year 11 students studying te reo			Percentage of Year 11 Te Reo students studying Te Reo Rangatira	Target Values	Estimated linear track to reach target
Year	Te Reo Rangatira	Te Reo Māori	Total		Target Values	Estimated linear track to reach target
2003	205	3,283	3,488	5.9
2004	131	3,509	3,640	3.6
2005	235	3,393	3,628	6.5
2006	277	3,461	3,738	7.4	7.4
2007	275	3,587	3,862	7.1	7.8
2008	241	3,701	3,942	6.1	8.3
2009	266	3,914	4,180	6.4	8.7
2010	272	4,055	4,327	6.3	9.1
2011	283	4,487	4,770	5.9	9.6	5.9
2012			TARGET		10.0	10.0

Figure 12: Percentage of Year 11 Te Reo students studying Te Reo Rangatira

Topic-ID36805-fig12

Target: Keep the current participation rate of all (primary and secondary) students engaged in Māori language education at 21%.

**Table 13: Students Engaged in Māori Language Education**
Year	Students in Māori language education	Students not in Māori language education	All students	Percentage of students in Māori language education	Target Values	Estimated linear track to reach target
2003	167,105	594,650	761,755	21.9
2004	166,041	598,613	764,654	21.7
2005	162,634	600,156	762,790	21.3
2006	158,602	602,159	760,761	20.8	20.8
2007	151,132	608,774	759,906	19.9	20.8
2008	149,404	608,690	758,094	19.7	20.9
2009	151,314	609,545	760,859	19.9	20.9
2010	149,405	614,993	764,398	19.5	20.9
2011	150,903	611,780	762,683	19.8	21.0	19.8
2012			TARGET		21.0	21.0

Figure 13: Percentage of school students engaged in Māori language education

Topic-ID36805-fig13

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Ka Hikitia Targets (XLS, 295.5 KB)