Statistics

Progress against Māori Education Plan Targets: Ka Hikitia – Managing for Success

Summary

The following page provides the latest data on the targets from the Ka Hikitia – Managing for Success: The Māori Education Strategy 2008-2012. This page is updated as new data is made available.

  Ka Hikitia Targets
Table
No
Table IndexFigure
Index
Latest Year of DataNext Update Due (Approx)
1
Percent of Māori new entrant students who participated in ECEFigure 1
2011Mar-2013
2
Percent of Māori school leavers qualified to attend universityFigure 2
2010Aug-2012
3
Percentage of year 11 Māori students meeting the NCEA level 1 literacy & numeracy requirementsFigure 3
2010Jun-2012
4
Percentage of Māori school leavers with NCEA level 2 or aboveFigure 4
2010Aug-2012
5
Truancy rate for year 9 and 10 Māori students
Figure 5
2009Jun-2012
6
Retention rate of Māori 17 1/2 year olds
Figure 6
2010Sep-2012
7
Percentage of Māori in modern apprenticeships
Figure 7
2009Apr-2012
8
Percentage of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 or above within 2 years of leaving schoolFigure 8
2006*
May-2012
9
First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students Figure 9
2008Jun-2012
10
First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori studentsFigure 10
2008Jun-2011
11
Percentage of school leavers from Māori immersion & bilingual schools qualified to attend universityFigure 11
2010Aug-2012
12
Year 11 students studying Te Reo Rangatira and Te Reo MāoriFigure 12
2011Sep-2012
13
Percentage of students participating in Māori language educationFigure 13
2011Sep-2012
Note:
  1. 2006* = 2006 school leaver data.


Foundation Years (early childhood education and the first years at school)

Target: Increase the percentage of Māori new entrant school children who have participated in early childhood education from 90% in 2006 to 95% by 2012.


Table 1: Percentage of Māori new entrant students who participated in ECE
Year Number of new entrant students who have participated in ECE Total new entrant students Percentage who have participated in ECE
Old series New Series
Māori Total
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Est* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total Target Values (old) Actual New Target Values

Est* linear track to reach target Actual
2003 11,868 42,319 54,187 13,422 44,496 57,918 88.4   95.1 93.6   86.5     92.4
2004 11,603 40,893 52,496 12,995 42,815 55,810 89.3   95.5 94.1   87.3     92.9
2005 12,183 42,041 54,224 13,555 43,966 57,521 89.9   95.6 94.3   87.9     93.1
2006 11,728 40,647 52,375 13,049 42,360 55,409 89.9   96.0 94.5 90.0 87.9 87.9   93.4
2007 11,328 39,132 50,460 12,510 40,757 53,267 90.6   96.0 94.7 90.8 88.5 88.7   93.6
2008 11,703 39,656 51,359 12,942 41,288 54,230 90.4   96.0 94.7 91.7 88.4 89.6   93.6
2009 11,802 40,494 52,296 12,919 42,079 54,998 91.4   96.2 95.1 92.5 89.3 90.4   93.9
2010* 12,419 40,236 52,655 13,895 41,842 55,737 89.4 89.4 96.2 94.5 93.3 89.4 91.2   94.5
2011*               92.2     94.2 90.0 92.1 90.0 94.7
2012*       TARGET 95.0 95.0     95.0   92.9 92.9  
Notes:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. The source of data for this indicator from 2003 to 2009 was school roll returns, while for 2010 the data source has changed to ENROL, which is an electronic real-time enrolment system used by schools and likely to provide more accurate data for this measure.
  3. The Education Region area of the school each Year 1 student was attending.
  4. The number of NZAID and Foreign Fee Paying Students, Health Camp Students, and students whose attendance is not known as been excluded (from both the numerator and denominator) when calculating participation rates.
  5. Not applicable includes the Correspondence School and other schools which cover multiple Eduction Region areas.
  6. 'n' implies that there were no Year 1 students with known attendance for this category.



Figure 1: Percentage of new entrant school children who have participated in Early Childhood Education prior to starting school
Topic-ID36805-fig1
Note:
  1. The source for this data changed in 2010.  As 2010 data is not directly comparable with earlier years, a revised series has been created.  The target has also been revised. The original target was "Increase the percentage of Māori entrant school children who have participated in childhood education from 90% in 2006 to 95% by 2012."

Young People Engaged in Learning (particularly in Years 9 and 10)

Target:  Increase Māori school leavers qualified to attend university from 14.8% in 2006 to 30% by 2012.


Table 2: School leavers qualified to attend university
Year Number of school leavers qualified to attend university Number of school leavers Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Target Values
Est* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total
2002 724 13,438 14,162 9,445 43,101 52,546 7.7
  31.2 27.0
2003 859 14,509 15,368 9,688 43,783 53,471 8.9
  33.1 28.7
2004 1,241 16,609 17,850 10,583 45,051 55,634 11.7
  36.9 32.1
2005 1,315 17,559 18,874 11,045 46,409 57,454 11.9
  37.8 32.9
2006 1,603 19,029 20,631 10,798 46,097 56,895 14.8 14.8
  41.3 36.3
2007 1,954 20,130 22,084 10,678 45,992 56,670 18.3 17.3
  43.8 39.0
2008 1,879 21,072 22,951 9,036 43,598 52,634 20.8 19.9

48.3 43.6
2009 2,127
21,496
23,623
 9,215 42,239
51,454
 23.1 22.4

50.9
45.9
2010 2,448
22,788
25,236
10,620
45,491
56,111
23.1
24.9
23.1 50.1 45.0
2011               27.5
26.5    
2012       TARGET 30.0 30.0
30.0    
Notes:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.
  3. These data are based on old paper-based definitions so may not equal the new ENROL-based results available from 2009 onwards.



Figure 2: Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
kahitikitanew2




Target:  Improve the proportion of Year 11 Māori students achieving the reading literacy and numeracy criteria for NCEA level 1 to be equal to or better than the proportion of non-Māori by 2012.


Table 3: Year 11 students meeting the reading literacy and numeracy criteria for NCEA level 1
Year Number with literacy and numeracy Total Year 11 students Percentage with literacy and numeracy
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Target Values
Esti* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total
2004 5,452 32,902 38,354 11,029 47,473 58,502 49.4
  69.3 65.6
2005 6,176 35,067 41,243 11,842 48,821 60,663 52.2
  71.8 68.0
2006 7,150 37,879 45,029 11,931 50,317 62,248 59.9 59.9   75.3 72.3
2007 7,682 37,782 45,464 12,574 48,865 61,439 61.1 63.3
  77.3 74.0
2008 7,657 37,671 45,328 12,669 48,227 60,896 60.4 66.6

78.1 74.4
2009 8,499
37,962
 46,461 12,910
 48,357 61,267
 65.8 70.0

78.5
 75.8
2010 8,902 37,962 47,173
13,551
47,807
61,358
65.7
73.4
65.7 80.1
 76.9
2011               76.7
72.9    
2012       CURRENT TARGET* 80.1 80.1
80.1    
Notes:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.
  3. These figures may differ slightly from those used in the development of the ka hikitia target as they include a small group of students who do not appear to have literacy and numeracy credits yet are regarded by NZQA as having met this criteria and have been awarded an NCEA level 1.
  4. * Estimated Target based on Most recent Non-Māori figure.


Figure 3: Percentage of Year 11 students meeting NCEA level 1 literacy and numeracy requirements kahikitianew3
Note:
  1. * Estimated Target based on Most recent Non-Māori figure


Target: Increase Māori school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above from 36.7% in 2006 to 55% in 2012.


Table 4: School leavers with NCEA level 2 or above
Year Number of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above Number of school leavers Percentage of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above 
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Target Values
Est* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total
2003 2,794 25,343 28,137 9,688 43,783 53,471 28.8
  57.9 52.6
2004*   -     -     -     -     -     -   30.8
  60.4 54.9
2005 3,610 29,197 32,807 11,045 46,409 57,454 32.7
  62.9 57.1
2006 3,966 30,280 34,246 10,798 46,097 56,895 36.7 36.7
  65.7 60.2
2007 4,689 32,431 37,120 10,678 45,992 56,670 43.9 39.8
  70.5 65.5
2008 4,556 32,753 37,309 9,036 43,598 52,634 50.4 42.8

75.1 70.9
2009 5,023
 33,071  38,094  9,438 42,702
52,140
53.2
45.9

77.4
73.1
2010 5,724
 35,012 40,736 10,620
45,491
56,111
53.9
48.9
53.9 77.0
72.6
2011            
52.0
54.5    
2012       TARGET 55.0 55.0
55.0    
Notes:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.
  3. * Due to methodological changes in the allocation of attainment levels for 2004 leavers achieving a qualification between little or no formal attainment and UE standard, the percentages of leavers with at least NCEA Level 2 in 2004 is not comparable with other years and has been replaced with an average of 2003 and 2005 results.
  4. These data are based on old paper-based definitions so may not equal the new ENROL-based results available from 2009 onwards


Figure 4: Percentage of school leavers with NCEA level 2 or above

kahitikitanew4





Target: Reduce the truancy rate of Māori students in Years 9 and 10 by 20% from 4.1% in 2006 to 3.3% by 2012.



Table 5: Truancy Rate of Year 9 and Year 10 Students
Year Number of Year 9 and 10 students who are frequent truants Year 9 and 10 students whose attendance is known Percentage who are frequent truants
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Est* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total
2003                    
2004 637 659 1,296 19,666 69,247 88,913 3.2   1.0 1.5
2005                    
2006 954 884 1,839 23,212 79,564 102,776 4.1 4.1 1.1 1.8
2007               4.0    
2008               3.8    
2009 336 334 680 11983 40279 52,262 2.8 3.7 0.8 1.3
2010               3.6    
2011               3.4    
2012       TARGET 3.3 3.3    
Note:
  1. Est* = Estimated



Figure 5: Percentage of Year 9 and 10 students who are frequent truants

Topic-ID36805-fig5




Target: Increase retention rates for 17 1/2-year-old Māori students from 39.1% in 2007 to 50% by 2012.



Table 6: Retention rates for 17 1/2 year olds
Year Number of 17 1/2 year olds in school Number of 14 1/2 year olds in school three years earlier Retention rate of 17 1/2 year olds
Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Target Values Est* linear track to reach target Non-
Māori
Total
2003 3,807 27,321 31,128 10,378 43,214 53,592 36.7     63.2 58.1
2004 4,395 28,648 33,043 11,113 43,463 54,576 39.5     65.9 60.5
2005 4,580 29,991 34,571 11,618 46,016 57,634 39.4     65.2 60.0
2006 4,763 30,829 35,592 12,259 46,802 59,061 38.9     65.9 60.3
2007 5,127 32,345 37,472 13,117 48,504 61,621 39.1 39.1   66.7 60.8
2008 5,442 33,903 39,345 13,492 49,704 63,196 40.3 41.3   68.2 62.3
2009 6,157 34,847 41,004 13,444 48,263 61,707 45.8 43.5   72.2 66.4
2010 6,859 36,416 43,275 13,438 47,539 60,977 51.0 45.6 51.0 76.6 71.0
2011       13,413 46,748 60,161   47.8 50.0    
2012       TARGET 50.0 50.0 50.0    
Notes:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures.


Figure 6: Retention rate of 17 1/2 year olds in school

Topic-ID36805-fig6





Target: Increase the proportion of Māori participating in modern apprenticeships from 14% in 2006 to 18% by 2012.


Table 7: Percentage of Māori in Modern Apprenticeships
Year Number of modern apprentices Proportion who are Māori Target Values (old) Target Values (new)  Est* linear track to reach target
Māori Non-Māori  Total
2006 1,430 8,036 9,466 15.1% 14.0% 15.1%  
2007 1,594 9,256 10,850 14.7% 14.7% 15.8%  
2008 1,797 10,352 12,149 14.8% 15.3% 16.4%  
2009 1,414 10,705 12,119 11.7% 16.0% 17.1% 11.7%
2010         16.7% 17.8% 14.1%
2011         17.3% 18.4% 16.6%
2012         18.0% 19.1% 19.1%








Note:
  1. Est* = Estimated.
  2. Numbers are as at 31 December.


Figure 7: Proportion of Māori participating in modern apprenticeships

kahitikitanew7
Note:
  1. Values have been revised since target was set - target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.



Target: Increase the proportion of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 and above within two years of leaving school, from 28% in 2004 to 32% by 2012.


Table 8: Percentage of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 or above within 2 years of leaving school
Year Total School Leavers Entering tertiary at level 4+ Percent entering tertiary at level 4+
Target Values (1)
 Target Values (new) Est* linear track to reach revised target
 Māori  Non-
Māori
 Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total Māori Non-
Māori
Total
2004 18,634 96,023 114,657 4,748 40,257 45,005 25.5% 41.9% 39.3% 28.0% 25.5%  
2005 19,212 99,122 118,334 4,956 40,767 45,723 25.8% 41.1% 38.6% 28.7% 26.2%  
2006 20,409 103,197 123,606 5,516 44,241 49,757 27.0% 42.9% 40.3% 29.3% 26.8% 27.0%
2007                   30.0% 27.5% 27.6%
2008                   30.7% 28.2% 28.3%
2009                   31.3% 28.8% 28.9%
2010                   32.0% 29.5% 29.5%
Note:
  1. Est* = Estimated


Figure 8: Proportion of Māori school leavers entering tertiary education at level 4 and above

kahitikitanew8
Notes:

  1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
  2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures



Target: Increase the first year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students from 81% in 2006 (based on the 2005 cohort) to 88% in 2012 (based on the 2011 cohort).


Table 9: First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students
Year started Māori  All students  Target Values (1) Target Values (new) Estimated linear track to reach revised target
2005 82.4% 90.0% 81.0% 82.4%
2006 83.3% 90.4% 82.2% 83.5%
2007 80.9% 89.3% 83.3% 84.7%
2008 84.2% 90.2% 84.5% 85.9% 84.2%
2009     85.7% 87.1% 85.9%
2010     86.8% 88.2% 87.7%
2011     88.0% 89.4% 89.4%
Note:
  1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.


Figure 9: First year degree retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students

kahitikitanew9
Notes:

  1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
  2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.


Target: Increase the first year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students from 54% in 2006 (based on the 2005 cohort) to 58% in 2012 (based on the 2011 cohort)


Table 10: First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students
Year started Māori All students Target Values (1) Target Values (new) Estimated linear track to reach revised target
2005 59.5% 73.4% 54.0% 59.5%  
2006 61.2% 73.7% 54.7% 60.1%  
2007 63.3% 73.5% 55.3% 60.8%  
2008 68.3% 78.0% 56.0% 61.5% 68.3%
2009     56.7% 62.2% 66.7%
2010     57.3% 62.8% 65.1%
2011     58.0% 63.5% 63.5%
Note:
  1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.



Figure 10: First year diploma retention rate for 18-19 year-old Māori students

kahitikitanew10
Notes:

  1. Data and method for calculating retentions rates was improved subsequent to the publication of the Ka Hikitia target.
  2. Target is shown separately to actual Māori figures.


Target: Increase the proportion of school leavers from Māori immersion and bilingual schools with university entrance or above from 39.4% in 2006 to be equal or better than the proportion of non-Māori English-medium students


Table 11: Percentage of school leavers from Māori immersion and bilingual schools qualified to attend university
Year Number of school leavers qualified to attend university Number of school leavers Percentage of school leavers qualified to attend university
Māori immersion and bilingual schools Non-Māori from English-medium schools Māori immersion and bilingual school leavers Non-Māori English-medium Māori immersion and bilingual school leavers Target Values
Estimated linear track to reach target Non-Māori English-medium
2002 26 13,438 124 43,099 21.0     31.2
2003 46 14,509 188 43,782 24.5     33.1
2004 94 16,608 280 45,049 33.6     36.9
2005 72 17,559 271 46,405 26.6     37.8
2006 151 19,029 384 46,095 39.3 39.3   41.3
2007 151 20,128 353 45,983 42.8 41.1   43.8
2008 133 21,072 321 43,597 41.4 42.9   48.3
2009 150 21,780 302 42,700 49.7 44.7   51.0
2010 154 22,787 299 45,485 51.5 46.5 51.5 50.1
2011           48.3 50.8  
2012   CURRENT TARGET*
50.1 50.1 50.1    
Notes: 
  1. The Correspondence School is included in all of the above figures
  2. There are only a relatively small number of school leavers from Māori immersion schools.  With such a small number of leavers, year-on-year actual percentages can vary substantially
  3.  just by random fluctuation (margin of error ~ 4-5%).  Together with the uncertainty around forecasts, and the fact that the number of school leavers from these schools has almost doubled
  4. since 2000, the forecast rates for school leavers with UE Standard from Māori immersion schools should be treated with caution.
  5. * Estimated Target based on most recent Non-Māori figure.


Figure 11: Percentage of school leavers from Māori Immersion and Bilingual Schools qualified to attend university

kahitikitanew11
Note:
  1. * Estimated Target based on most recent Non-Māori figure.


Target: Increase the proportion of all Year 11 students studying Te Reo Rangatira as a proportion of all Year 11 students studying te reo (Te Reo Māori plus Te Reo Rangatira), from 7.4% in 2006, to 10% by 2012.


Table 12: Year 11 Students Studying Te Reo Rangatira and Te Reo Māori
Year Year 11 students studying te reo Percentage of Year 11 Te Reo students studying Te Reo Rangatira Target Values  Estimated linear track to reach target
Te Reo Rangatira Te Reo Māori Total
2003 205 3,283 3,488 5.9    
2004 131 3,509 3,640 3.6    
2005 235 3,393 3,628 6.5    
2006 277 3,461 3,738 7.4 7.4  
2007 275 3,587 3,862 7.1 7.8  
2008 241 3,701 3,942 6.1 8.3  
2009 266 3,914 4,180 6.4 8.7  
2010 272 4,055 4,327 6.3 9.1  
2011 283 4,487 4,770 5.9 9.6 5.9
2012     TARGET   10.0 10.0



Figure 12: Percentage of Year 11 Te Reo students studying Te Reo Rangatira

Topic-ID36805-fig12


 

Target: Keep the current participation rate of all (primary and secondary) students engaged in Māori language education at 21%.


Table 13: Students Engaged in Māori Language Education
Year Students in Māori language education Students not in Māori language education All students Percentage of students in Māori language education Target Values  Estimated linear track to reach target
2003 167,105 594,650 761,755 21.9    
2004 166,041 598,613 764,654 21.7    
2005 162,634 600,156 762,790 21.3    
2006 158,602 602,159 760,761 20.8 20.8  
2007 151,132 608,774 759,906 19.9 20.8  
2008 149,404 608,690 758,094 19.7 20.9  
2009 151,314 609,545 760,859 19.9 20.9  
2010 149,045 614,993 764,398 19.5 20.9  
2011 150,903 611,780 762,683 19.8 21.0 19.8
2012     TARGET   21.0 21.0



Figure 13: Percentage of school students engaged in Māori language education

Topic-ID36805-fig13

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