Demographics and Educational Rolls

New Zealand Birth Report

The purpose of these annual reports are to look at the recent trend in births and examine which regions are likely to be most effected in the future.

Author(s): Various

Date Published: Various

Quarterly Migration Reports

Published quarterly, this series of reports gives an update of actual external migration statistics for children based on data provided by Statistics New Zealand. The reports comment on the emerging trends in migration and the potential impact on schools.

Author(s): Central Forecasting & Modelling Unit, Ministry of Education

Date Published: Quarterly

National School Roll Projections

Projections and forecasts of school rolls are used by the Ministry of Education to assess the demand for resources in the school sector.

They support the forecasting of expenditure on teachers’ salaries, schools’ operations grants, and student allowances, as part of the Government’s five-year budget forecasts. The forecast rolls are snapshots; they project primary year-levels as at 1 July and secondary year-levels as at 1 March. The production of a range of projections allows for exploration of medium and long-term effects of different scenarios or assumptions, while forecasts (based on preferred projections) are a best estimate of enrolment numbers in the short term

This report includes a breakdown of the major changes between the current forecast and the previous forecast. A brief description of the methodology used in this forecast is also provided.

Author(s): Various

Date Published: Various