Demographics and Educational Rolls

The purpose of these annual reports are to look at the recent trend in births and examine which regions are likely to be most effected in the future.

Published quarterly, this series of reports gives an update of actual external migration statistics for children based on data provided by Statistics New Zealand. The reports comment on the emerging trends in migration and the potential impact on schools.

Projections and forecasts of school rolls are used by the Ministry of Education to assess the demand for resources in the school sector. The production of a range of projections allows for exploration of medium and long-term effects of different scenarios or assumptions, while forecasts (based on preferred projections) are a best estimate of enrolment numbers in the short term.