How does achievement at school affect achievement in tertiary education?
Publication Details
This report explores the relationship between academic achievement at secondary school and first-year achievement in tertiary education. The analysis uses a measure known as 'expected percentile' and school qualification to explain the performance of school leavers in their first year in tertiary education.
This report provides a complement to the report Post-school choices, which explores the link between school achievement and choices around participation in tertiary education.
Author(s): David Scott
Date Published: May 2008
The report explored the following questions:
- How are the characteristics of performance in senior secondary National Qualifications Framework-based qualifications related to achievement in tertiary study?
- How well does expected percentile predict achievement in tertiary study?
- How much influence does school achievement have on tertiary achievement, compared with other school or tertiary study factors, or demographic characteristics?
Key Findings:
The study found support for the relationship between school achievement, using expected percentile as the measurement for school achievement, and first-year tertiary achievement.
The relationship was strongest for those enrolling in degrees, and less so for those enrolling below degree level.
For school leavers enrolling in degrees, expected percentile explained a quarter of the likelihood of them passing all their first-year courses.
More significantly, the mean first-year course pass rate for school leavers enrolling in degrees can be determined almost entirely from expected percentile.
However, its influence on first-year attrition is much smaller, and is secondary to study load, and other factors untested in this study.
Related Education Counts Documents
Post-school choices: How well does academic achievement predict the tertiary education choices of school leavers?
Students' Transition between School and Tertiary Education: 2nd Edition
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